Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.179994 0.206991 0.237851 0.275994 0.322231 0.376921 0.447189
2025-05-04 0.140749 0.175997 0.220933 0.283572 0.370518 0.489903 0.671704
2025-05-11 0.117687 0.156370 0.209840 0.291649 0.418430 0.616307 0.968532
2025-05-18 0.101155 0.140733 0.198961 0.294925 0.457882 0.742212 1.326862
2025-05-25 0.088873 0.128297 0.189321 0.296346 0.493045 0.872515 1.767838
2025-06-01 0.078911 0.117416 0.179576 0.294500 0.520809 0.998974 2.285523
2025-06-08 0.070501 0.107571 0.169565 0.289474 0.540341 1.115971 2.871529
2025-06-15 0.065669 0.102817 0.167256 0.297978 0.589976 1.324732 3.922664
2025-06-22 0.059641 0.095188 0.158564 0.291885 0.605290 1.454689 4.859702
2025-06-29 0.055655 0.090614 0.154754 0.294991 0.643407 1.669312 6.437169
2025-07-06 0.051465 0.085168 0.148480 0.291440 0.663754 1.842703 8.126609
2025-07-13 0.048755 0.082129 0.146473 0.297068 0.710810 2.137236 11.149966
2025-07-20 0.046423 0.079612 0.145302 0.304826 0.768405 2.521251 16.024530
2025-07-27 0.044164 0.077004 0.143614 0.311116 0.825003 2.956118 23.302823
2025-08-03 0.042285 0.074938 0.142798 0.319528 0.892739 3.515236 35.635577
2025-08-10 0.040217 0.072277 0.140314 0.323012 0.945704 4.065274 53.265083
2025-08-17 0.038215 0.069552 0.137334 0.324551 0.992993 4.649766 80.191738
2025-08-24 0.036172 0.066552 0.133356 0.322464 1.026084 5.198495 118.446214
2025-08-31 0.034106 0.063327 0.128481 0.316824 1.043037 5.669728 169.776663
2025-09-07 0.033073 0.062229 0.128569 0.326361 1.130901 6.860414 332.842153
2025-09-14 0.031252 0.059257 0.123740 0.319525 1.141837 7.416469 507.330221
2025-09-21 0.030095 0.057664 0.122174 0.323009 1.205070 8.638605 1047.998496
2025-09-28 0.028669 0.055358 0.118557 0.319026 1.229801 9.526554 1972.442132